Europe against autocrats
It seems that Russia and the US under Trump are allying as autocratic powers against Europe. Europe certainly has some leverage to assert itself, says ChatGPT:
- Economic power
Size of the EU single market: The EU is one of the largest economic powers in the world. Sanctions, trade restrictions and economic retaliation could exert pressure.
Technological dependencies: Europe plays a key role in certain high-tech sectors (e.g. engineering, chemicals, semiconductor supply chains). Strategic export controls could be a tool.
Financial system & Euro: The euro is a major reserve currency. If necessary, Europe could make financial transactions with autocracies more difficult.
- Military options
NATO & European defence: Although the US dominates NATO, Europe has strong defence forces of its own, notably through France (the only EU nuclear power) and Germany.
Rearmament & strategic independence: A European defence alliance or greater integration of military capabilities could make Europe more resilient.
- Political & diplomatic power
International alliances: Europe could join forces with other democracies (e.g. Canada, Japan, Australia, South Korea) to form a counterweight.
Soft power: The EU is influential worldwide as a standard setter (e.g. data protection, environmental standards, human rights).
- Social resilience
Independence from energy and raw materials: Greater self-sufficiency in energy and resources could make Europe less susceptible to blackmail.
Strengthening democratic structures: A united and stable Europe would be less susceptible to influence and destabilisation by autocratic states.
Conclusion:
Europe is not powerless. But without a joint strategic reorientation – particularly in defence, energy and foreign policy – it would be under severe pressure in such a scenario.